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Questions tagged [prophet]

Prophet is a risk management platform used by the financial services industry to model companies’ financial business. Use the [facebook-prophet] tag if you are referring to Facebook's Prophet software.

Prophet is part of the SunGard iWorks business-driven IT product family for the insurance industry developed by SunGard Financial Systems.

Prophet is often used in insurance business: actuaries use it to define deterministic and stochastic models that represent key processes in their companies.

Prophet is composed of two separate components:

  1. a User Interface where Actuarial Models are developed
  2. a Calculation Engine that sits behind the User Interface and converts the actuarial code stored in a database into machine code which is then processed
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Repeated error in prophet package in python in model.predict step

i'm trying to build a model to forecast y based on certain regressors using prophet package. An error is appearing to me as below ufunc 'isnan' not supported for the input types, and the inputs could not be safely coerced to any supported types…
Hady
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Prophet CMDStanpy error - Procedure Entry Point Not Located

I am trying to use prophet library. The 'cmdstanpy' and 'prophet' packages are successfully installed. But I am getting this error while running my model - "The procedure entry point _ZNt3bb19task_scheduler_init10initilaizeEiy could not be located…
Stupid_Intern
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Azure Data Factory run New Job Cluster Mode Databricks Python Wheel

We are trying to install the external libraries via Azure data factory. After that we are planning to execute our notebook. Inside the notebook we will be using many different libraries to achieve the business logic. In the Azure data factory, there…
Developer KE
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Predict to a year further than the data I have

I have data from 2016 to 2021, I used multiple regression model lm() to achieve that. What I like to have is continuing the trend to 2022 in a different line type and colour I used prophet but the equation it uses is different from the model thus…
Teema
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_RemoteTraceback,, fit_prophet(weather)

I want to make a model based on weather data using prophet. Unfortunately, I got this error: Exception: Less than two datapoints before cutoff. Increase initial window. thank you in advance my script: from prophet.diagnostics import…
mlk
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Why adding new data in time series affects yhat (predictions) in the past in Prophet?

I am using Prophet to predict a time serie. However, if I drop last month, yhat in the past changes. I think the expected result is to modify the future prediction, not the past. Is that behaviour correct? How can I make a month yhat depends only…
jrvidotti
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How to forecast non-complete 24Hr data using Prophet Model

I have time series data but it not complete 24 hour. My data time start at 8:00 a.m. and end at 16:59 p.m. enter image description here And I need to predict cloud cover using Prophet model at hour scale (every one hour later), But when i trained…
Patcharaporn Sirimom
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Facebook Prophet Forecasting using Daily or Monthly data?

This is a question concerning forecasting using Facebook Prophet. I have a 10-year dataset with daily data that are integers ranging from 0 to 100+. On certain days, y = 0. I am looking to produce monthly forecasts for the next 3 years. Should I: a)…
nuttychan
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How to properly install prophet with python 3.9.13

The current pystan==2.19.1.1, and it seems that this's the highest version in python 3.9. I have tried: pip install prophet. Using this command I can install the prophet but when running fit I got errors. Error: Unexpected exception formatting…
smilingfish
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Prophet model plot components y-axis

Dear Stackoverflow community I have a plot of components. Would it be possible to plot values (e.g. operating times) on y-axis instead of relative changes. Kind help is greatly appreciated. Thank you model = Prophet() model.fit(df) future =…
JohnTan
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Neural prophet Value Error without any message

I will try to be as short as possible. I ran a Neural prophet forecasting job on multiple products Task 'model_selection': Exception encountered during task execution! Traceback (most recent call last): File…
Andrei Tulbure
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Prophet (R) Limiting Oscillations in prediction due to spike at end of training

I am trying to forecast using the Prophet library (beginner). (NOTE: Due to the nature of my problem, I may not always have a lot of data to train on. ) When my training data has a spike towards the end of the series, the forecasted values can be…
Kevin Sweeney
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ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'numpy when deploying prophet code on azure functions

was deploying prophet code to azure functions and faced this error, the code is working perfectly fine in my local mac but when i try to deploy it on the cloud. i get this error. my requirements.txt…
hawkingradiation
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How can I have the exact date for a certain week of the year?

I have the following data: week = [202001, 202002, 202003, ..., 202052] Where the composition of the variable is [year - 4 digits] + [week - 2 digits] (so, the first row means it's the first week of 2020, and so on). I want to transform this, to a…
SmackCat
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i am trying the use fbprophet to get predition based on cases. only interested in getting the future prediction based on date and cases

I am trying to predict the cases using the datasets in the csv using fb prophet. I am not interested in plotting the graph, only the result set. I am getting errors trying to make it work. Any help will be greatly appreciated. cd =…
Chukky
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