Questions tagged [prophet]

Prophet is a risk management platform used by the financial services industry to model companies’ financial business. Use the [facebook-prophet] tag if you are referring to Facebook's Prophet software.

Prophet is part of the SunGard iWorks business-driven IT product family for the insurance industry developed by SunGard Financial Systems.

Prophet is often used in insurance business: actuaries use it to define deterministic and stochastic models that represent key processes in their companies.

Prophet is composed of two separate components:

  1. a User Interface where Actuarial Models are developed
  2. a Calculation Engine that sits behind the User Interface and converts the actuarial code stored in a database into machine code which is then processed
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Prophet gives me json output and it's really slow

I am working with Prophet on Python. I want to fit multiple Time Series with Prophet. I don't know why but now (before all was good) when I call the .fit() method, Prophet's outputs are the classic one with cmdstanpy - INFO, but now I have also…
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Display full predictability of Prophet forecast (yhat, lower_yhat, upper_yhat) opposed to .tail() or .head()

example shows last 5 entries using .tail() of statement...How to display full forecast entries
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fb prophet regressor underestimated

I am working on monthly sales data. especially in the month of June, the sales are almost 3*X. how do I add a regressor? I tried to create a binary regressor but the value is still underestimated. how can I increase the impact of the regressor? def…
sdave
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i want clarification about cross validation and performance metrics (FBProphet)

I came through many blogs still cant understand about cross_validation and performance_metrics cross_validation(m, initial='2008 days', period='30 days', horizon = '30 days') I have a Dataset length of 2038 days data The above code means it will…
Mokey D Luffy
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Error with timezone when fit prophet model

I plan to use prophet for prediction. But when I fit a model I receive error. I use example from modeltime.resample: library(dplyr) library(lubridate) library(parsnip) library(rsample) library(timetk) library(modeltime) m750 <-…
Yuriy
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IndexError: only integers, slices (`:`), ellipsis (`...`), numpy.newaxis (`None`) and integer or boolean arrays are valid indices Prophet Error

I want to implement prophet algorithm and use my dataset on the model. After fit process i got following error in predict process. How can i solve this problem.? import pandas as pd import pystan from prophet import Prophet df_prophet = df[['date',…
Sevval Kahraman
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Exclude certain period of data in FB Prophet

Is it possible to exclude certain period of data (e.g covid period) in FB Prophet and plot the forecasted data over that period rather than using actual values? I'm trying to see the pattern in the charts if covid period was excluded/included.
Hiku
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Fecebook NeauralProphet - adding holidays

I have one common data set for my prediction that includes data across the globe. ds y country_id 01/01/2021 09:00:00 5.0 1 01/01/2021 09:10:00 5.2 1 01/01/2021 09:20:00 5.4 1 01/01/2021 09:30:00 6.1…
user1578872
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AttributeError: 'StanModel' object has no attribute 'fit_class'

I am new to fb prophet to do time series analysis. I have this error. I have searched eveywhere but couldnot find any solution. can you please help me : AttributeError: 'StanModel' object has no attribute 'fit_class'
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Error with script saved as single file by Pyinstaller

I saved python script in single executable file with Pyinstaller, but when I tried to run it in console ./dist/myscript/myscript it raise AttributeError error with log below. Log info Traceback (most recent call last): File "service.py", line 75,…
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fbprophet error (ValueError: lam value too large)

When I copying this(below source), I always see same errors. I used pycharm IDE and I used anaconda to install prophet(pip doesnt worked but conda-forge worked) source: https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1NN_vY_hp9gmHfqqRi778-V_7PRRXG8ww import…
daystd
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Dask crashing my PC running Prophet CV Hyperparameter Tuning

Similar to some of my other questions, I'm working on a FB Prophet model and want to hyperparameter tune the variables. I believe (testing) that I can loop through non-standard variables, by first assigning them to a variable in the grid. It runs,…
t25
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how do i solve ValueError when running Prophet(), ds and y

I'm trying to learn forecast from https://facebook.github.io/prophet/docs/quick_start.html#python-api then let say, I use this df df = pd.read_csv("https://datahub.io/core/natural-gas/r/daily.csv").iloc[-1000:] df after that, I run this code m =…
zizamuft
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Predicting Future With FBProphet

I have been using fbprophet to make a time series prediction. I have the following dataframe: I have tried to do a future prediction using the following code and want to predict 30 years in the future: p_model = Prophet() df_plot =…
Nhyi
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How to solve data format issue in Auto Arima , Prophet forecasts with R?

This is dataframe (df) ds y 1 2020-09-25 42,034.88 2 2020-09-24 41,806.37 3 2020-09-23 41,876.26 4 2020-09-22 41,828.91 5 2020-09-21 42,174.13 dput of this data: structure(list(ds = structure(c(14613, 14614, 14615, 14616,…
A.B.
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