Finnaly, I find it was my own fault.
Following my SARIMA(2,0,0)X(0,0,1,12) model, the non-seasonal element has orders(p,d,q)=(2,0,0), and the seasonal element has orders (P,D,Q,s)=(0,0,1,12). Thus, the model says that the data has a nonseasonal AR(2) pattern, and a seasonal MA(1)_12 pattern.
As a result, the coefficient of nonseasonal MA pattern which is corresponding to SARIMAXResults.maparams
will not be estimated. By contrast, the coefficient of seasonal MA partter which is corresponding to SARIMAXResults.seasonalmaparams
will be estimated.
For purpose of getting estimated coefficient value of seasonal MA pattern, I should call seasonalmaparams()
method, instead of maparams()
.
The error problem is solved now. :D