Here is a graphing example that uses your data, note the equation. This example uses initial parameter estimates that were manually estimated from a scatterplot of the data, the default curve_fit estimates are all 1.0 by default and those do not work well in this case.
import numpy as np
import scipy, matplotlib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.optimize import curve_fit
xData = np.array([1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0, 11.0, 12.0, 13.0, 14.0, 15.0, 16.0, 17.0, 18.0, 19.0, 20.0, 21.0, 22.0, 23.0, 24.0, 25.0, 26.0, 27.0, 28.0, 29.0, 30.0, 31.0])
yData = np.array([.99, 1.0, 0.98, 0.93, 0.85, 0.77, 0.67, 0.56, 0.46, 0.36, 0.27, 0.19, 0.12, 0.07, 0.03, 0.01, 0, 0.01, 0.05, 0.09, 0.16, 0.24, 0.33, 0.44, 0.55, 0.65, 0.76, 0.85, 0.93, 0.98, 1.0])
def fitFunc(x, amplitude, center, width, offset):
return amplitude * np.sin(np.pi * (x - center) / width) + offset
# these are the curve_fit default parameter estimates, and
# do not work well for this data and equation - manually estimate below
#initialParameters = np.array([1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0])
# eyeball the scatterplot for some better, simple, initial parameter estimates
initialParameters = np.array([0.5, 1.0, 16.0, 0.5])
# curve fit the test data using initial parameters
fittedParameters, pcov = curve_fit(fitFunc, xData, yData, initialParameters)
print(fittedParameters)
modelPredictions = fitFunc(xData, *fittedParameters)
absError = modelPredictions - yData
SE = np.square(absError) # squared errors
MSE = np.mean(SE) # mean squared errors
RMSE = np.sqrt(MSE) # Root Mean Squared Error, RMSE
Rsquared = 1.0 - (np.var(absError) / np.var(yData))
print('RMSE:', RMSE)
print('R-squared:', Rsquared)
print()
##########################################################
# graphics output section
def ModelAndScatterPlot(graphWidth, graphHeight):
f = plt.figure(figsize=(graphWidth/100.0, graphHeight/100.0), dpi=100)
axes = f.add_subplot(111)
# first the raw data as a scatter plot
axes.plot(xData, yData, 'D')
# create data for the fitted equation plot
xModel = np.linspace(min(xData), max(xData))
yModel = fitFunc(xModel, *fittedParameters)
# now the model as a line plot
axes.plot(xModel, yModel)
axes.set_xlabel('X Data') # X axis data label
axes.set_ylabel('Y Data') # Y axis data label
plt.show()
plt.close('all') # clean up after using pyplot
graphWidth = 800
graphHeight = 600
ModelAndScatterPlot(graphWidth, graphHeight)