The pricing of the Asian option is approximated, using Monte Carlo simulation, by:
delta <- 1/12
T <- 2
S0 <- 100
sigma <- 0.20
K <- 100
r <- 0.01
n <- 10^4
m <- T/delta
S <- S0
for(i in 1:n) {
for(j in 1:m) {
W <- rnorm(1)
Si <- S[length(S)]*exp((r-0.5*sigma^2)*delta + sigma*sqrt(delta)*W)
S <- c(S, Si)
}
Si.bar <- mean(S[-1])
Ci <- exp(-r*T)*max(Si.bar - K, 0)
}
mean(Ci)
The for(j in 1:m)
for loop runs perfectly, I think... But when I run it n times, using for(i in 1:n)
S gets smaller and smaller by n. It decreases to almost zero when n grows. This leads to a mean (Si.bar <- mean(S[-1])
well below the strike price, K= 100.
I can't figure out what is wrong with the two last lines of codes. I'm getting a value on the Asian call option of 0, due to the payoff function. The correct solution to this option is a value of approximately 7 (mean(Ci)
)