Cherry Picking
These are all highlight videos which can easily have cherry picked the statements which most closely match events. We would need to see an uncut corpus of his work to determine whether this is prophesy or just cherry picking.
Even if we assume that, the statements have a minimal connection to the events; often just one or two keywords.
Ugandan Helicopter Crash
The statements contain no specifics beyond a helicopter being blown up, a mention of Somalia not having helicopters, and then a bunch of stuff about the nations being subdued. No time, no location, no mention of Uganda, no other specifics.
There's nothing particularly significant about this helicopter crash. It certainly didn't put the fear of God into politicians.
Here is a transcription, best I can. Sections in {} are my best guess.
There's something which is unfolding which {you guys} all to pray about {again} those months I saw, umm, I remember in that fellowship, one of the fellowships, I saw, umm, that helicopter thing being blown up and now before then we didn't have helicopters {there in} Somalia {???}
Then there is an edit in the video.
And yesterday {told me} here they were moving. So you guys pray {?} uncover that because {you} all of the sudden wake up and decided ok now let's send helicopters and there's a prophesy hanging, a very dangerous prophesy hanging over that. Now that's what I'm saying that the time is coming when the nations will be subdued before the glory of God they will take this thing seriously. They will begin {consulting} from God on whatever is supposed to be right in the nation. Glory to God! That is basically the element of the prophetic. That is to subdue the nations before the throne of God. They they will recognize that the Lord is God. And so, {all the politicians or the parliament}, all these guys can come up and debate all they want to, but God has forseen it, and God knows you take that action it is deadly, you take this action and prosperity comes.
Kenyan Election Dispute
Again, it's a long, rambling, generic statement about Kenya. No specifics, no names, no date. It could match any political dispute or even an earthquake ("old blocks shaking and crumbling").
The claim is that he predicted a rift between Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta and the opposition chief Raila Odinga one week before the event. This video makes this event to be a big deal. Kenyatta and Odinga were speaking together in the US a month later. This seems to be a minor public spat.
He does say "and then the riots will come" which did not seem to be a consequence of this dispute.
This is the YouTube transcription.
kenya
the beloved of the lord
i see
old blocks
shaking
and crumbling
in kenya
old blocks shaking and crumbling
and the spirit of god says
there shall be a new face
begin to spring forth
to bring new wine
and the old structures
shall begin to give way to this because
they shall come a force
that no man and no establishment
can put out
for i do anything
and the spirit of god says
these are the signs that you shall see
in that nation
i shall begin
to cause
a division
i shall begin to cause a strength
and they shall come out news of
disowning this owning
and many leaders
disowning being disowned
disowning and being disowned
and you shall hear
you shall hear
places that were strongholds
of certain known leaders disowning and
they shall parade and say we disown we
disown for us we are going this way
now i'm telling you things that you're
going to see
it's not there
it is there
and
and the spirit of god says
when you shall see
i'm talking kenya now
the time when it seems like they have
progressed and progressed and planned
and have said
we are surely taking this angle
and they have planned everything
and then the riots shall come
now here we need to pray
{???}
in the name of jesus
{???}
the nation of canaan
we are there by the power of prophecy
and i declare peace over the land
that what you do lord
may it come out as peaceful
as it gets
in the name of jesus
in the name of jesus
Oscar Predictions
What does God need with the Oscars? According to Mbonye, Hollywood is controlled by high level demonic entities and God will predict the Oscars to show you that Jesus is Lord over Hollywood. I'm on board with demons controlling Hollywood, but Jesus is their boss? I'm confused.
This video claims to be from January 2nd, 2018. It is heavily edited. We only hear him predict 7 of 24 categories in the Oscars that year.
- Best adapted screen play
- Best animated feature film
- Best production design
- Best film editor
- Best actor
- Best sound editor
- Best [original] song
That is an odd selection. It's lacking the big ones like "Best Picture" and "Best Director". This suggests he got the rest wrong and the video is cherry picking.
All of his picks, with the exception of best original song, were already considered front runners. Let's compare how The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg did in his predictions a month earlier on Dec 1, 2017.
- Best Actor - Gary Oldman
- Best Supporting Actress - Allison Janney
- Best Adapted Screenplay - Call Me By Your Name
- Best Original Screenplay - Get Out
- Best Animated Feature - Coco
- Best Film Editing - Dunkirk
Wow, he got six right! Just one less than Mbonye did; to be fair he did not have divine guidance. Unlike Mbonye, we have all 16 of Feinberg's predictions, so we know he's 6 out of 16. We don't know Mbonye's record.